How To Find Good Stocks For A Smart Investment Strategy
What are good stocks to invest in for 2018?
If you're a trader interested in building a successful investment strategy for 2018 and beyond, you may be wondering how and where to find good stocks for your portfolio.
Good stocks to invest in are stocks that are guaranteed to increase in value. Unfortunately, you’d need a crystal ball to know exactly what they are.
However, sector investing, which involves buying a basket of stocks (or an ETF or mutual fund covering those stocks) in a business category likely to do well in the near term, might be something to consider.
Different sectors rise to the top at various points in the business cycle, so you can improve your odds by choosing stocks which historically have done well in the current phase of the cycle.
Many stock market investors don’t realize that “The Dow” is actually a sector play—the Dow Jones Industrial Average. There’s also a Dow average for
transportation, and for utilities. But industrials get the most attention because they tend to reflect the overall health of the U.S. economy. Examples
of other sectors for stock trading include information technology, healthcare, financial services and energy. Most of these have their own indices that
can be tracked for stock trading, though they’re not as well-known as the Dow.
As of December 2017, Fidelity investments says we are at a transition point between “mid” and “late” business cycles.
Mid cycles are characterized by maturing growth in sectors which have expanded the most in the current economic environment.
Industrials and information technology stocks have historically done best in this environment.
In late cycles, rising inflation constrains growth and inventories build as the economy prepares to slip into recession. Energy, healthcare and materials have traditionally done best in late cycles.
How Do Smart Investors Find the Best Stocks?
Smart investors have a plan for stock market investing. They don’t just buy the latest hot stock in the news or act on a tip from the media or their brother-in-law or broker.
Rather, they have a set of criteria for a smart investment and they evaluate each potential investment accordingly.
For example, a smart investor might focus on specific categories (sectors) and then narrow down a list of stocks in these categories that fit other criteria such as ticker price and daily volume.
(Stocks in a sector tend to move in the same direction in price, even if some of the underlying companies are more successful than others.)
Then they look at historical performance and see if the stock is approaching a supply or demand zone that meets our definition of a low-risk, high-potential investment.
Once they identify a possible stock market investment, smart investors will continue to work their plan. They won’t get caught up in emotion and go against a well-thought-out strategy.
And if a trade goes against them (something that happens on a regular basis to even the most successful investors), they’ll ruthlessly purge it from their portfolio before a small loss turns into a bigger one.
How does sector investing fit into a stock trading plan?
At Online Trading Academy, when we provide stock trading training, our instructors often say that “a chart is a chart, is a chart”. Day traders and
stock investors use candlestick charts that show the movement of price over time, and the trader’s most important tool is the ability to anticipate
future price movements based on historical supply and demand zones. That holds true for individual stocks, for EFTs, for E-minis tracking indices, and
also for assets such as currency pairs. It doesn’t matter whether the stock or its sector is going up or down, so long as you can predict with a high
degree of accuracy in which direction it will move and how far.
However, you can magnify your opportunities by investing in stocks in sectors that outperform (or underperform) the overall market. These will tend to rotate
over time, reflecting other economic conditions. Here, for example, are the top performing sectors for the past five years according to
- 2017: Information Technology
- 2016: Energy
- 2015: Consumer Discretionary
- 2014: Real Estate
- 2013: Consumer Discretionary
If you invest in the right sector in the right market, you might see 5:1 or 10:1 profit potential (meaning $5 or $10 in potential profit for each dollar of
downside risk) instead of our minimum recommendation of 3:1 at Online Trading Academy.
Sector investors also have the opportunity to fine-tune their stock trading plans because stocks within a sector tend to move in the same general direction.
If Alphabet (formerly Google, ticker GOOG) has a good earnings report, that is likely to lift the shares of other technology companies.
If GOOG does not fit your trading plan because of its high price (recently over $1000 per share), you could choose another, cheaper technology stock and still benefit from GOOG’s influence on the sector overall.
Discover smart investment strategies with Online Trading Academy
Is sector investing right for you? As a stock trader, stock investor or day trader you should be familiar with the concept, and it may well have a place
in your trading toolbox. At the end of the day, the good stock to invest in is the one that performs as you expect it to, and gives you the opportunity to
build short-term income or long-term wealth.
Our Core Strategy course will answer the question, "How do you invest in stocks" and is the foundation
of the Online Trading Academy curriculum, it’s all about smart stock trading. For more experienced investors and traders, consider our
Stock Trading XLT. See you in class!