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Trading Forex at the New York Open

Now, more than ever since I’ve been a speculator of the financial markets and an instructor of multiple assets for Online Trading Academy, do I feel that there is one saying which sums up the nature of trading better than any other: “Trading is Simple – but it is not Easy.” Time and time again I have drilled this into my students on an ongoing basis, be it through the medium of the classroom or via the ongoing XLT (Extended Learning Track) online internship we offer our students. During these XLT sessions, we have a mixture of both lesson days, which reinforce that learning from the classroom environment and expand upon it further and the rest of the time is made up of live analyzing and trading the FX markets.

These live trading and analysis sessions are held at various times during the week, so as to cater for the unique nature of the global currency markets and the fact that there are different times across the week which offer an abundance of trading opportunities to the disciplined, rule-based trader. The students of the Forex XLT recently requested that we adopt a new session based around the New York open at 9.30am EST and 2.30pm London time (where I am based). As many Equities traders may already know, the open of the stock market is usually one of the most frantic and volatile times of the trading day, as many traders and institutions place their orders, and build the positions for the day ahead. However, as our graduates know, for a trader with the right education and understanding of the market, the opening bell often creates some very low risk and high potential reward trades for the disciplined speculator, if they know what they are looking for.

So why am I talking about stocks when this is supposed to be an article on FX? Well as a multi-asset trader myself, I know that all of the various asset classes trading around the world at any given time are uniquely linked in some way, shape, or form. The complete trader understands that these relationships can be advantageous if understood correctly and it can be something as small as just the time of day which can increase the odds for success in a trade. This is why we hold an XLT session occasionally for FX at the equity market open. We may be trading currencies, however because this is an important time in the broad market environment it can also in turn create fantastic setups in the world of FX. Let’s go to a session I was holding a few weeks ago on Monday April 23rd.  Below is a screenshot of the opening of the XLT session, highlighting the trading splash-screen:

What you can see here is the student splash-screen which I (or any other instructor hosting the session) will put together before the session starts and which shows the best low risk, high reward trades we are seeing before the open. By showing this in advance of the XLT session, it gives the students in the room time to look at the trade for themselves before we go to the live market. In this example, I have taken current price and marked off some key intraday and swing levels on the EURUSD where we would be interested buyers and sellers. I like to ideally use these levels for my entries and targets. I have highlighted on the screenshot above the Demand area to buy between 1.3106 and 1.3096, giving a 10 pip risk and the Supply area to sell between 1.3216 and 1.3226 for a 10 pip risk also. As explained in the plan, we are happy to take either trade but considering the market at the time, it was more likely that the demand area would trigger first. With this in mind the opposing supply area could make for a great final target, with management of the position being carried out throughout the trade. The key is to wait for our entry. Let’s look to the setup at the open:

We are now 15 minutes into the New York session open and as you can see on the chart, out levels from the splash-screen are marked off giving us our supply and demand areas for entry. It is now just a simple game of patience to wait for the trades to trigger. On the left of the screen you can see members of the FX XLT sending their comments and questions to me in real time. The orders have been placed and there is really nothing more to do than to sit on our hands and scan the markets for any other trades which may be setting up.

There are two main reasons why we have placed our trades in advance. The first is because we understand that only the most consistently profitable traders look to be one of the first to buy or sell in the market. This is the low risk and high reward opportunity. The second reason is because there is nothing better than setting the trade up and going off and doing something else. Sitting and watching the market will do absolutely nothing to help the trade in any way at all. It took more than 1 hour and 30 minutes to happen but eventually we got triggered in the long position as we can see below: 

Upon entry, the stop was placed automatically for capital preservation and the final target was set at the previously shown supply area (which could also be considered for a short trade when price reaches the area). Notice another small level on the chart? This is one of a number of interim profit taking areas we pointed out because we need to remember that although we have a final target for the trade it may not reach it and it would be pointless to take the trade and not lock in some profit or at least reduce the risk along the way. Now that we have taken the trade, what next? Well the same as before – we wait it out. Some 24 hours later the final profit target was hit as we can see below: 

Notice how the supply area we had marked off also produce 1:3 risk to reward as well? Albeit it was not as impressive as the long from the day before which came in at around 1:10 risk to reward but it is still not to be sniffed at. If this style of trading is new to you, then I would very much suggest that you consider it. Remember how I opened this article saying how trading is simple but not easy? What I have shown you in this piece is without question simple. The market was analyzed in advance, the entry, stop and target placed and the rest left to the market. What could be simpler? This is how we do it at Online Trading Academy. So why is it not easy I hear you ask? The obvious answer to that is because traders themselves make it difficult, allowing their feelings and emotions to get in the way. If this simpler approach to the markets appeals to you then you know where to find us. I hope you found this useful.

Have a great week,

Sam Evans


DISCLAIMER This newsletter is written for educational purposes only. By no means do any of its contents recommend, advocate or urge the buying, selling or holding of any financial instrument whatsoever. Trading and Investing involves high levels of risk. The author expresses personal opinions and will not assume any responsibility whatsoever for the actions of the reader. The author may or may not have positions in Financial Instruments discussed in this newsletter. Future results can be dramatically different from the opinions expressed herein. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Reprints allowed for private reading only, for all else, please obtain permission.

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