Monday Morning Must-Knows - December 22, 2025

Monday Morning Must-Knows by Trading Academy

December 22, 2025

Core Durable Goods Crash Signals Recession as Christmas Week Arrives

The S&P posted its second consecutive down week, though Friday's session showed strength off the lows. This light Christmas week brings minimal earnings but potentially market-moving economic data. The Fed's recent GDP forecasts paint a darker picture, projecting growth to slow to 1.7% in 2025 and 2.3% in 2026, well below current levels.

In this episode, Merlin Rothfeld breaks down the light earnings calendar, explains why the GDP slowdown matters, and digs deep into the alarming durable goods forecast that has recession watchers on alert. Markets close Thursday for Christmas with a half day Friday, leaving just three trading days left in 2025.

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