Hello traders! This week, my Lesson From the Pros will show how to use multiple time frames to trade the Forex market. In the grand scheme of Online Trading Academy’s core strategy, we recommend using three time frames to help make your investing and trading decisions, whether you are trading stocks, Forex, Options or futures. Our first time frame, or largest time frame, is to determine where we are in the ‘big picture’, essentially showing us where the biggest institutions are trading. Our next time frame down shows us our direction/trend between these institutional levels. And our third or smallest time frame show us smaller supply and demand zones so we can join the trend in between those massive large time frame levels. Pretty easy, huh? Let’s get into a bit more detail…
Now, the difference between these levels for multiple time frame analysis is usually a factor of 4, 5 or 6 depending on circumstance. What this means is that if you are using a monthly Forex chart for your largest time frame, divide the monthly by 4, 5 or 6 to find your next lower time frame. Obviously, a weekly goes into the monthly 4 times, so there is the next logical time frame down. A daily chart would then go into a weekly chart 5 or 6 times, depending on the market you are looking at (24 hour markets that start on Sunday would be 6, but stock traders would still use daily as there are 5 trading days in the week.)
For the following example Forex trade, I am using the EURJPY Daily, 240 minute, and 60 minute charts.
On this daily Forex chart for March 8, the EURJPY fell into an obvious demand zone from February 8. After about a two week rally, this pair fell dramatically back to our zone, which now shows us a larger time frame supply zone. We are now looking to trade between these levels.
There is an obvious downtrend from March 3 to March 8 marked on this chart using a series of red arrows showing the lower highs and lower lows of the downtrend. Personally, I’m not a fan of going long in a downtrend no matter how strong the demand zone the trend hits, but many of our more aggressive students and instructors will. To do this, your first entry could have been at the demand zone from the daily Forex chart!
As I said, I’m waiting for the trend to change direction which is marked by the blue arrows. When we have higher lows AND higher highs, an uptrend has formed and it’s time to go long…but on the next time frame lower which would logically be the 60 minute chart when using our 4, 5 or 6 ratio. Don’t forget, we always want to use at least a 3:1 reward to risk ratio on our trades, which has been covered quite a few times in these newsletters. Entering your long trade at approximately 124.50, with a stop below the zone around 124.35 would have given you only 15 pips of risk. Having ONLY a 45 pip profit target on this trade would definitely have worked out, but there was so much more room in this Forex trade if you let it run!
Because this is Online Trading ACADEMY, instead of giving you all of the answers I’ll use this as a teaching moment. There are several more locations on this last chart where you could have joined this new uptrend. OTA students should be able to spot at least 4!
As you are putting your trading plan together, hopefully this helps with your multiple time frame analysis section!
Until next time,