Lessons from the Pros

India Markets

Are You Diversified?

Last week I opened the discussion on diversification through ETF’s. Most investors have been told to diversify their portfolio. They think if they buy companies that are in different industries that they will be covered if there is some adversity in the markets. The problem is that they do not fully understand the risks in the markets and how to offset those risks. To trade properly, you need to understand the degree of risk you are taking on by involving yourself in the markets.

There are several risks that any trader or investor will face.  Depending on the type of investment or trading vehicle we select, we will be exposed to one or many of these types of risk.  The levels of risk are listed in order along with the securities that are involved at those levels.

Systemic Risk – These are shocks to the entire financial system where there are few to no safe havens left.  We have experienced this with the collapse in 2008 in the global markets.

Asset Class Risk – Stocks, Bonds, Commodities, and Currency markets all go through cycles where they are bullish or bearish.  You face risk of entering at the wrong part of the cycle for that asset class.

Country Specific Risk – Countries grow at different paces and can offer distinct opportunities and risks based on economic projections, political stability, and other factors.

Sector Risk – There are nine sectors that companies fall into. The sectors also follow cycles where they are more preferred by investors and are bullish and also bearish. The sectors are: Consumer Discretionary, Technology, Basic Materials, Industrials, Energy, Consumer Staples, Services, Utilities and Financials. We discuss this rotation of sectors in our courses.

Industry Risk – Within the nine sectors, there are over 200 industries that are more specific to what the company does/produces.  They also fall into cycles.  We have additional ETFs that allow us to trade specific industries.

Company Risk – Individual stocks have risks from the company’s operations.  Missing earnings, accounting irregularities, and corporate member changes are all issues we face.

If you trade or invest in individual stocks, you are exposed to the highest levels of risk.  Even if you try to reduce risk by buying many stocks in different industries or sectors, you still have the asset class and company risk.  When it comes to minimizing our risk, we want to be as high up the risk levels as possible while still maximizing our potential profit.  When we increase our risk, we do also increase our potential for profit.  You will usually see larger price movements on individual stocks than you do in ETFs, but the ETF can hold up much better than an individual stock if there is an issue with a company.

To really be diversified, you should invest or trade in multiple asset classes such as Futures or Forex to spread your exposure out over different asset classes.  Even if you own a tech stock and a financial company, you will lose when the stock market collapses.  Know your risks and manage them when trading.  Success comes from protecting your capital as much as it comes from making winning trades.

DISCLAIMER This newsletter is written for educational purposes only. By no means do any of its contents recommend, advocate or urge the buying, selling or holding of any financial instrument whatsoever. Trading and Investing involves high levels of risk. The author expresses personal opinions and will not assume any responsibility whatsoever for the actions of the reader. The author may or may not have positions in Financial Instruments discussed in this newsletter. Future results can be dramatically different from the opinions expressed herein. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Reprints allowed for private reading only, for all else, please obtain permission.

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