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The Only Two Things That Matter in Trading

Sam Seiden
Online Trading Academy, Chief Education, Products, and Services Officer

We all want consistent profits, lifelong income from speculating in markets. Anyone can have profitable trades here and there but do they produce consistent returns year after year? The goal in this article is to get right to the point of focusing on the two most important things in trading/investing that lead to consistent returns.

  1. Quality Supply and Demand Zones: To identify market turning points and market moves in advance with a high degree of accuracy, you need to know where institutions and banks are buying and selling in the markets. To accomplish this, you must be able to quantify any market’s real supply and demand by looking at a price chart.
  2. A Clear Profit Zone: Just as it is important to identify strong supply and demand zones on a chart. It is equally important to be able to identify areas on the price chart where there is very little supply or demand. These are the areas where price will move quickly through.

One of the key components of our patented core strategy that we focus on for every short term and long term trading opportunity is Profit Zone. Without a path for price to move after we enter a position on the chart, there is no trading opportunity. What we are looking for are supply and demand levels with a clear profit zone between them. There are many supply and demand zones on a chart. Often, there is a very quality supply and demand level on a chart, but the problem is they are too close to each other or there is too much trading activity between them, which again means no trade. Typically, we are looking for opportunities on the chart that offer us at least 3:1 reward to risk.Tweet: We look for opportunities on the chart that offer us at least 3:1 reward to risk. https://ctt.ec/7UI6r+ Often, we are looking for more but this is a safe minimum to make a trade acceptable to take.

OTA Supply/Demand Grid April 2017: Gold FuturesThe cause of price turns and price movement in the markets.

Let me explain through an opportunity found using our Daily Market Overview service for OTA members. This was a trade in the Gold Futures (GC). Notice the supply level on the chart, shaded in yellow. The supply level is the origin of a strong decline in price and has with it some very key Odds Enhancers that make it a significant level where institutions are likely selling, where supply greatly exceeds demand.

The trade was to figure on a downside move, selling short at the supply level to a novice buyer for a potential move down in price. What made this trade work well are two specific things. First was the quality supply level. Second, notice the rally that brought price up to the supply level where we sold short. There was good news, people started buying in a hurry and price shot up quickly. Notice specifically the big green candles. There is no picture of demand in that rally. This means that when price reached the supply level where we sell short, price was likely to fall just as fast as it rallied because there was no significant demand to stop it from falling.

The supply zone causes the turn in price, the lack of demand causes the movement of price.

Free Trading WorkshopEverything you need to see is on the price charts, if you know what you’re looking for. If you have been schooled in the theories of conventional technical analysis, you may be blinded by illusions of chart patterns that never really worked for anyone. Have no fear, there is a cure. Remove everything from your charts except price and price alone. My hope is that today’s little nugget of information helps you achieve the consistency you’re looking for.

Hope this was helpful, have a great day.

Sam Seiden – sseiden@tradingacademy.com

Disclaimer
This newsletter is written for educational purposes only. By no means do any of its contents recommend, advocate or urge the buying, selling or holding of any financial instrument whatsoever. Trading and Investing involves high levels of risk. The author expresses personal opinions and will not assume any responsibility whatsoever for the actions of the reader. The author may or may not have positions in Financial Instruments discussed in this newsletter. Future results can be dramatically different from the opinions expressed herein. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Reprints allowed for private reading only, for all else, please obtain permission.